National Multifamily Report – September 2021

Asking Lease Growth Breaks Records

■ Single-family (built-to-rent) rents continue to grow at an even much faster rate than multifamily, with national rents up 14.3% year-over-year. Occupancy keeps increasing as well, up 1.2% year-over-year.

Said a panelist at an NMHC occasion this week: “In 40 years, Ive never seen rent boosts like weve seen these last couple of months. Never.”

That said, while the year-over-year numbers keep accelerating, we may be seeing the early phases of moderation. Rents increased $16, or 1.0%, in September, certainly robust growth by historic standards however the most affordable rate of boost in 6 months. Nationwide, leas have actually increased a minimum of $15 monthly given that March 2021. The rent growth is sustained by robust need combined with the long-term supply lack, which has actually produced extremely high tenancy levels. Nationwide, occupancy increased 10 basis points in September to reach 95.9% for the first time ever in Yardis survey.Metros in the Southwest and Florida continue to control the lease development. Phoenix, Tampa, Las Vegas and Miami all signed up extraordinary yearly asking rent growth greater than 20% in September. Main markets are starting to gain momentum. Although they rank near the bottom of our leading 30 markets,year-over-year rent development in between 4% and 8% is welcome for primary markets San Francisco, New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Boston and Washington, D.C.Lifestyle (13.4% nationwide growth) rents continue to surpass Renter-by-Necessity (9.5%). Numerous occupants can pay for the greater leas commanded by Lifestyle houses, but cost concerns might resurface as leas continue to rise.

■ Asking rents nationwide continue to exceed, though the marketplace reveals signs of deceleration. Nationally, asking leas were up 11.4% year-over-year in September. Regular monthly rent growth was $16, a rate of 1.0%, which is the lowest month-to-month gain since the market started to speed up in March.

■ Sun Belt tech centers are still leading the nation in lease development, as markets in the Southeast and Southwest take advantage of quick domestic migration and task growth. The migration story has actually been playing out for a variety of years, but accelerated quickly during the pandemic.

The U.S. home market continues to set record development rates, as asking rents increased 11.4% on a yearly basis in September. Leas are at an all-time high of $1,558, up a remarkable 11.1% year-to-date through 3 quarters.

Year-Over-Year Rent Growth: Positive for All Top 30 Metros

Rent development is healthy in all of our leading 30 markets, and markets such as Baltimore (11.4%) and Philadelphia (9.7%) are experiencing record boosts.

■ As has actually held true considering that late 2016, year-over-year lease growth has been controlled by Sun Belt markets. In September, the leading 15 markets for yearly rent development were all in the Sun Belt, while seaside and Midwestern markets comprised the lower half of our top 30 rankings. Rent growth is healthy in all of our top 30 markets, and markets such as Baltimore (11.4%) and Philadelphia (9.7%) are experiencing record increases.

■ Looking listed below the top 30 markets, Florida secondary markets rise to the top, as migration and low in-place leas drive growth in the Sunshine State. West Palm Beach (28.8%), the Southwest Florida Coast (27.1%) and Jacksonville (22.6%) are in the leading 5 of all 140 markets tracked by Yardi Matrix.

Monthly lease growth was $16, a rate of 1.0%, which is the least expensive monthly gain because the market began to speed up in March.

Nationwide, tenancy increased 10 basis points in September to reach 95.9% for the first time ever in Yardis survey.Metros in the Southwest and Florida continue to dominate the lease growth. Even though they rank near the bottom of our leading 30 markets,year-over-year lease development in between 4% and 8% is welcome for primary markets San Francisco, New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Boston and Washington, D.C.Lifestyle (13.4% nationwide growth) rents continue to outmatch Renter-by-Necessity (9.5%). Lots of tenants can afford the greater rents commanded by Lifestyle houses, however cost issues might resurface as leas continue to rise.

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